Trade War 2.0: Lingering Risks on the Horizon - ธนาคารกรุงศรี

On December 8, 2025, ธนาคารกรุงศรี (Krungsri Bank) published an article titled "Trade War 2.0: Lingering Risks on the Horizon." This publication serves as an important alert for the import and trade compliance community, signaling potential future challenges in the global trade landscape. While the summary provided does not delve into specific details of what these "lingering risks" entail, the very title suggests a renewed period of trade tensions that could impact international supply chains and import operations.

For importers, customs brokers, and trade compliance officers, the announcement of a "Trade War 2.0" implies a need for heightened vigilance. Although the article summary from Krungsri Bank does not specify the countries involved or the particular sectors that might be targeted, the general concept of a trade war typically involves the imposition of tariffs, quotas, or other trade barriers. This could lead to increased costs, supply chain disruptions, and a more complex regulatory environment for businesses engaged in cross-border trade.

It is crucial to note that the provided information, published on December 8, 2025, does not include any specific rates, tariffs, or duties that are currently in effect or proposed. The article's title focuses on "Lingering Risks," indicating a forward-looking warning rather than a report on immediate, concrete trade measures. Therefore, while the warning is significant, specific financial impacts or new compliance requirements are not detailed within this summary.

What Importers Should Do

Given the general nature of this warning, importers and trade professionals should consider the following proactive steps:

• Stay Informed: Regularly monitor official government announcements and reputable trade news sources for any developments related to new tariffs, trade policies, or retaliatory measures that might arise in the context of a "Trade War 2.0."
• Review Supply Chains: Begin to assess the resilience of current supply chains. Understand the origin of your goods and components, and identify potential vulnerabilities if trade relations between key countries deteriorate.
• Consult Experts: Engage with customs brokers, trade attorneys, and compliance consultants to understand potential impacts on your specific products and operations, and to develop contingency plans.

While specific actions cannot be prescribed without further details from Krungsri Bank's full article, the mere mention of "Trade War 2.0" necessitates a strategic review of trade operations to prepare for potential shifts in the global trade environment.